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Yes. You can update your prediction at any time before the pool closes. However, updating removes your conviction bonus — your weight multiplier drops from 1.5× to 1.0×.
You receive a conviction bonus of 1.5× for maintaining your original prediction through to close. This multiplies your overall weight in the reward calculation.
The final value is sourced from Pyth oracle at the exact pool deadline. The result is submitted on-chain and cannot be altered after submission.
Predictions outside the acceptable accuracy range receive an accuracy score of 0, resulting in no reward from that pool. Your stake is used to fund the rewards for more accurate participants.
After the pool moves to the Settled state, rewards can be claimed directly from your account. There is no time limit on claiming once a pool is settled.
No. All predictions and activity are private until settlement. After the pool resolves, data is revealed — but by then no further predictions can be made.
The time bonus rewards early participation. The earlier you enter relative to the pool’s open and close time, the higher your bonus — up to 2.5× for entering at pool open.
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